Stream C: Environmental Modeling Uncertainty Issues

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Schedule
2014
Monday, June 16th
9:00 AM	Calibration of simulation platforms including highly interweaved processes: the MAELIA multi-agent platform Romain Lardy, UMR 5505 IRIT, CNRS, University of Toulouse Pierre Mazzega, UMR5563 GET, IRD-UPS-CNRS-CNES, OMP, Universidad de Brasilia Christophe Sibertin-Blanc, UMR 5505 IRIT, CNRS, University of Toulouse Yves Auda, UMR5563 GET, IRD-UPS-CNRS-CNES, OMP José-Miguel Sanchez-Perez, Laboratoire Ecologie fonctionnelle et Environnement, CNRS, UMR EcoLab Sabine Sauvage, Laboratoire Ecologie fonctionnelle et Environnement, CNRS, UMR EcoLab Olivier Therond, UMR 1248 AGIR, INRA-INPT Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 9:00 AM - 10:20 AM
9:00 AM	Investigating Parameter Sensitivity for Management in Snow-Driven Watersheds Elizabeth Houle, University of Colorado Boulder Joseph Kasprzyk, University of Colorado Boulder Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 9:00 AM - 10:20 AM
9:00 AM	Multiscale Spatial Sensitivity Analysis for Agent-Based Modelling of Coupled Landscape and Aquatic Systems Arika Ligmann-Zielinska, Michigan State University Wei Liu, Michigan State University Daniel B. Kramer, Michigan State University Kendra Spence Cheruvelil, Michigan State University Patricia A. Soranno, Michigan State University Piotr Jankowski, San Diego State University Seda Salap, San Diego State University Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 9:00 AM - 10:20 AM
9:00 AM	Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of a plant-wide model for carbon and energy footprint of wastewater treatment plants Giorgio Mannina, Universita di Palermo Alida Cosenza, Universita di Palermo Riccardo Gori, University of Florence Reza Sobhani, University of California, Irvine Manel Garrido, University of California, Irvine Diego Rosso, University of California, Irvine Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 9:00 AM - 10:20 AM
10:40 AM	APEX-CUTE: An Auto-calibration and Uncertainty Analysis Tool for the APEX Model Xiuying Wang, Blackland Research & Extension Center, Texas A&M AgriLife Research Haw Yen, Blackland Research & Extension Center, Texas A&M AgriLife Research Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 10:40 AM - 12:00 PM
10:40 AM	Feedback versus uncertainty Ronald R. P. van Nooijen, Delft University of Technology Markus Hrachowitz, Delft University of Technology Alla G. Kolechkina, Delft University of Technology Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 10:40 AM - 12:00 PM
10:40 AM	Overview and Application of the Model Optimization, Uncertainty, and SEnsitivity Analysis (MOUSE) Toolbox James C. Ascough II, USDA-ARS-NPA, Agricultural Systems Research Unit Christian Fischer, Friedrich Schiller University of Jena Nathan Lighthart, Colorado State University - Fort Collins Olaf David, Colorado State University - Fort Collins Timothy R. Green, USDA-ARS-NPA, Agricultural Systems Research Unit Sven Kralisch, Friedrich Schiller University of Jena Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 10:40 AM - 12:00 PM
10:40 AM	Slow or rapid collapse? Transients between stable states as a source of uncertainty in predicting ecosystem shifts Derek Karssenberg, Utrecht University Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 10:40 AM - 12:00 PM
2:00 PM	A Simple and Effective Approach to Global Sensitivity Analysis Based on Conditional Output Distributions Francesca Pianosi, University of Bristol Thorsten Wagener, University of Bristol Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 2:00 PM - 3:20 PM
2:00 PM	Are the driving forces of hydrological models really driving the model output? Jiri Nossent, Flanders Hydraulics Research, Department Mobility and Public Works, Flemish Government, Vrije Universiteit Brussel Willy Bauwens, Vrije Universiteit Brussel Fernando Pereira, Flanders Hydraulics Research, Department Mobility and Public Works, Flemish Government Toon Verwaest, Flanders Hydraulics Research, Department Mobility and Public Works, Flemish Government Frank Mostaert, Flanders Hydraulics Research, Department Mobility and Public Works, Flemish Government Session C1: Complexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Intergrated Environmental Models 2:00 PM - 3:20 PM
2:00 PM	Global sensitivity analysis in environmental water quality modelling: Where do we stand? Giorgio Mannina, Universita di Palermo Alida Cosenza, Universita di Palermo Manandraitsiory Randrianantoandro, Universite Laval Franҫois Anctil, Universite Laval Marc B. Neumann, Basque Centre for Climate Change, IKERBASQUE, Basque Foundation for Science Peter A. Vanrolleghem, Universite Laval Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 2:00 PM - 3:20 PM
2:00 PM	Model structure sensitivity of river water quality models for urban drainage impact assessment Frank Blumensaat, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich Jana Seydel, Technische Universitat Dresden Peter Krebs, Technische Universitat Dresden Peter A. Vanrolleghem, Universite Laval Session C1: Compexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 2:00 PM - 3:20 PM
3:40 PM	Complexity regularized hydrological model selection Saket Pande, Delft University of Technology Liselot Arkesteijn, Delft University of Technology Luis A. Bastidas, Delft University of Technology Session C1: Complexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 3:40 PM - 5:20 PM
3:40 PM	Physically based landslide susceptibility models with different degree of complexity: calibration and verification Giuseppe Formetta, University of Calabria Giovanna Capparelli, University of Calabria Riccardo Rigon, University of Trento Pasquale Versace, University of Calabria Session C1: Complexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 3:40 PM - 5:20 PM
3:40 PM	Residential mobility and model complexity - an agent-based modelling experiment on a small shrinking town in Eastern Germany Carsten M. Buchmann, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research Nina Schwarz, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research Session C1: Complexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 3:40 PM - 5:20 PM
Tuesday, June 17th
9:00 AM	Operational Flash Flood Warning Systems with Global Applicability Theresa M. Modrick, Hydrologic Research Center Rochelle Graham, Hydrologic Research Center Eylon Shamir, Hydrologic Research Center Robert Jubach, Hydrologic Research Center Cristopher R. Spencer, Hydrologic Research Center Jason A. Sperfslage, Hydrologic Research Center Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Hydrologic Research Center Session C1: Complexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 9:00 AM - 10:20 AM
9:00 AM	Practical identifiability analysis of environmental models Stefano Marsili-Libelli, University of Florence Michael B. Beck, University of Georgia Philip Brunner, Université de Neuchâtel Barry Croke, Australian National University Joseph Guillaume, Australian National University Anthony Jakeman, Australian National University John Jakeman, Sandia National Laboratories Karel Keesman, Wageningen University Hans Stigter, Wageningen University Session C1: Complexity, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Issues in Integrated Environmental Models 9:00 AM - 10:20 AM
Thursday, June 19th
9:00 AM	Innovative Techniques for Quantitative Scenarios in Energy and Environmental Research: a Review Evelina Trutnevyte, University College London, UCL Energy Institute Célene Guivarch, Cired, Ecole des Ponts ParisTech Session C2: Accounting for Uncertainty in Decision Support by Treating Model Assumptions as Scenarios 9:00 AM - 10:20 AM
9:00 AM	Qualitative Reasoning Models to Summarize and Compare Metapopulation Theories Isabella Gontijo Sá-Leão, University of Brasilia Adriano Souza, University of Brasilia Fernando Goulart, Universtiy of Brasilia Paulo Salles, University of Brasilia Session C2: Accounting for Uncertainty in Decision Support by Treating Model Assumptions as Scenarios 9:00 AM - 10:20 AM
10:40 AM	Enhancing the policy relevance of scenarios through a dynamic analytical approach Céline Guivarch, Ecole des Ponts ParisTech, Cired Vanessa Schweizer, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), University of Waterloo Julia Rozenberg, Cired Session C2: Accounting for Uncertainty in Decision Support by Treating Model Assumptions as Scenarios 10:40 AM - 12:20 PM
10:40 AM	Global sensitivity analysis of key parameters in a process-based sugarcane growth model - A Bayesian approach Justin Sexton, James Cook University Yvette Everingham, James Cook University Session C2: Accounting for Uncertainty in Decision Support by Treating Model Assumptions as Scenarios 10:40 AM - 12:20 PM
10:40 AM	Hypothesis Testing for Management: Evolving and Answering Closed Questions Using Multiobjective Visualization Joseph Kasprzyk, University of Colorado Boulder Joseph Guillaume, National Centre for Groundwater Research and Training, Australian National University Joshua Kollat, DecisionVis Chris Danilo, DecisionVis Session C2: Accounting for Uncertainty in Decision Support by Treating Model Assumptions as Scenarios 10:40 AM - 12:20 PM

Stream C: Environmental Modeling Uncertainty Issues

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