Keywords
inland waters, heat uptake, ISIMIP, global lake models, global hydrological models
Start Date
17-9-2020 1:40 PM
End Date
17-9-2020 2:00 PM
Abstract
Heat uptake is a key variable for understanding Earth system response to greenhouse gas forcing. Recent assessments highlighted that most of the excess energy is stored in the oceans, whereas the land, atmosphere and ice melt take up smaller amounts. However, despite the importance of this heat budget, heat uptake by inland waters has so far not been quantified. Here we use a unique combination of global-scale lake models, global hydrological models and Earth system models from the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) to, for the first time, quantify global heat uptake by lakes, reservoirs and rivers over the industrial period (1900-2020). Total inland water heat uptake amounts to 2.6 ± 3.2x1020 J by the end of the period, with the largest uptake realised after 1990. The overall uptake is dominated by warming of natural lakes (2.9 ± 2.0x1020 J, the multi-model mean and standard deviation; 111.7% of total inland water heat uptake), followed by reservoir warming (5.9 ± 2.7x1018 J; 2.3%). The multi-model mean heat uptake by rivers contributes negatively to the total heat uptake (-0.36 ± 1.2x1020 J; -14%), but encompasses a large uncertainty originating from the river storage term, simulated by the global hydrological models. The rapid increase in dam construction and resulting reservoir expansion in the second half of the 20th century causes a heat redistribution from ocean to land by storing extra water on land. Remarkably, this heat redistribution exceeds the anthropogenic heat uptake by inland waters by a factor of ~ 10.4, adding up to 27 ± 2.1x1020 J. Our results overall underline the importance of inland waters for buffering atmospheric warming through enhanced anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations
Global heat uptake by inland waters
Heat uptake is a key variable for understanding Earth system response to greenhouse gas forcing. Recent assessments highlighted that most of the excess energy is stored in the oceans, whereas the land, atmosphere and ice melt take up smaller amounts. However, despite the importance of this heat budget, heat uptake by inland waters has so far not been quantified. Here we use a unique combination of global-scale lake models, global hydrological models and Earth system models from the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) to, for the first time, quantify global heat uptake by lakes, reservoirs and rivers over the industrial period (1900-2020). Total inland water heat uptake amounts to 2.6 ± 3.2x1020 J by the end of the period, with the largest uptake realised after 1990. The overall uptake is dominated by warming of natural lakes (2.9 ± 2.0x1020 J, the multi-model mean and standard deviation; 111.7% of total inland water heat uptake), followed by reservoir warming (5.9 ± 2.7x1018 J; 2.3%). The multi-model mean heat uptake by rivers contributes negatively to the total heat uptake (-0.36 ± 1.2x1020 J; -14%), but encompasses a large uncertainty originating from the river storage term, simulated by the global hydrological models. The rapid increase in dam construction and resulting reservoir expansion in the second half of the 20th century causes a heat redistribution from ocean to land by storing extra water on land. Remarkably, this heat redistribution exceeds the anthropogenic heat uptake by inland waters by a factor of ~ 10.4, adding up to 27 ± 2.1x1020 J. Our results overall underline the importance of inland waters for buffering atmospheric warming through enhanced anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations
Stream and Session
false