Stream D

Using argumentation to guide uncertainty management

Joseph Guillaume, Australian National University

8:20 AM - 8:40 AM

Post normal model validation? Surely you must be joking

Andrea Saltelli, University of Bergen, Universitat Oberta de Catalunya

8:40 AM - 9:00 AM

Uncertainty appraisal in life-cycle assessment

Samuele Lo Piano, University of Reading, United Kingdom

9:00 AM - 9:20 AM

A transparent approach for ranking sensitive parameters in hydrological models

Carolina Massmann, BOKU University

11:00 AM - 11:20 AM

Estimation of spatially-structured subsurface parameters using variational autoencoders and gradient-based optimization

Jorge Lopez-Alvis, University of Liege, Ghent University

11:20 AM - 11:40 AM

How spatial predictors of location suitability influence land allocation – a neglected issue in CLUE-s based scenario modelling?

Melvin Lippe, Thuenen Institute, Germany

11:40 AM - 12:00 PM

Modeling reductive dechlorination of 1,2-dichloroethane in the presence of chloroethenes and 1,2-dichloropropane as co-contaminants – Using prior information and multi-objective optimization

Uwe Schneidewind, University of Birmingham, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences

12:00 PM - 12:20 PM

Formalizing validation? Towards criteria for valid conclusions from agent-based simulation

Christian Troost, University of Hohenheim

12:40 PM - 1:00 PM

Towards a Multi-criteria Approach to Validate Agent-based Model for Socio-ecological Systems Transitions

Quang Bao Le, ICARDA, Egypt, Egypt

1:20 PM - 1:40 PM

Global sensitivity analysis of a generic agent-based approach to model diverse behaviour of farmers

Robert Huber, Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Zurich ETHZ, Agricultural Economics and Policy AECP

1:30 PM - 1:20 PM

Calibration of an Agent Based Land System Model using Machine Learning to support Future Land Use Projections

Bumsuk Seo, Karlsruhe Inst. of Technology

2:00 PM - 2:20 PM

A quest for (behavioral) data in agent-based models for environmental policy

Tatiana Filatova, University of Twente, Netherlands

2:20 PM - 2:40 PM

Land use scenarios of future urbanization in flood prone areas: A case study in the South of Rome

Simona Mannucci, Sapienza University of Rome, Sapienza University of Rome, Italy

3:20 PM - 3:40 PM

Scenario-based multiobjective optimization approach for dealing with deep uncertainty in environmental problems

Babooshka Shavazipour, University of Jyvaskyla, Finland

3:40 PM - 4:00 PM

A modified scenario discovery approach to explore inequality patterns in model-based adaptation planning

Bramka Arga Jafino, Delft University of Technology

4:00 PM - 4:20 PM

An approach for Scenario Discovery on high-dimensional problems

Irene van Droffelaar, Delft University of Technology

4:20 PM - 4:40 PM

Incorporating scenarios of value change in robust decision making using Cross-Impact Balances

Tristan de Wildt, Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands

4:40 PM - 5:00 PM

Using dynamic risk profiles to create adaptation pathways for flood risk management

Hedwig van Delden, RIKS

5:20 PM - 5:40 PM

Robust Resilience: Decision Making with Ensemble of Metrics Improves Response to Novel Shocks

Patrick Steinmann, Wageningen University, Netherlands

5:40 PM - 6:00 PM

Evaluation of Scenario Discovery Methods for Multi-Reservoir System Planning

Nathan Bonham, University of Colorado Boulder

6:00 PM - 6:20 PM

Improving Interpretability of Multi-Objective Tradeoff Sets for Environmental Systems

Joseph Kasprzyk, University of Colorado Boulder, USA

7:20 PM - 7:40 PM

Advances in probabilistic hydrological modelling, including in ephemeral catchments

Dmitri Kavetski Kavetski, University of Adelaide

8:00 AM - 8:20 AM

Bayesian ranking of Pareto optimal solutions for an ecohydrological model

Willem Vervoort Vervoort, The University of Sydney, Australia

8:20 AM - 8:40 AM

Uncertainty quantification and porosity estimation of geological structures associated to sedimentary geothermal reservoirs, based on Bayesian inversion of gravity anomalies with graphcuts

Guillaume Pirot Pirot, The University of WA, Australia

8:40 AM - 9:00 AM

Critical role of amount and reliability of calibration data on the performance of the parameter estimation

Farkhondeh Khorashadi Zadeh Khorashadi Zadeh, Vrije Universiteit Brussel

9:00 AM - 9:20 AM

Integrating remote sensing and expert knowledge for agricultural monitoring

Ana Stritih Stritih, ETH Zurich, Institute for Landscape and Spatial Development, Planning of Landscape and Urban Systems (PLUS)

9:20 AM - 9:40 AM

Bayesian Evidential Learning for 1D geological imaging from geophysical data

Hadrien Michel Michel, University of Liège, Faculty of Applied Sciences, Urban and Environmental Engineering Department

9:40 AM - 10:00 AM

How two Bayesian methods pave the way for uncertainty analysis in river engineering

Koen Berends Berends, Deltares, Netherlands

10:00 AM - 10:20 AM

Model decisions and modelling cultures

Lieke Melsen, Wageningen University, Netherlands

10:40 AM - 11:00 AM

A new framework to reduce uncertainty in Wellhead Protection Area prediction using Bayesian Evidential Learning

Robin Thibaut, Ghent University, Ghent University, Belgium

11:20 AM - 11:40 AM

Incorporating probabilistic policy adoption within bilevel optimization solution methods for targeting environmental policies

Brad Barnart, NCASI, Oregon State University

11:40 AM - 12:00 PM

Uncertainty in Pareto fronts of land use allocation caused by spatial input data

Moritz Hildemann, University of Münster, Institute for Geoinformatics

12:00 PM - 12:20 PM

Sensitivity Analysis and Model Evaluation of Bifenthrin Surface Water Concentrations from California Urban Runoff

Tom Purucker, US EPA

2:00 PM - 2:20 PM

A fast and effective parameterization of water quality models using a screening method of global sensitivity analysis

Farkhondeh Khorashadi Zadeh, Vrije Universiteit Brussel

2:20 PM - 2:40 PM

Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis to evaluate a new spatialized process-oriented model of water and pesticide transfers at the catchment scale

Emilie Rouzies, INRAE, INRAE - French National Research Institute for Agriculture, Food and the Environment, France

2:40 PM - 3:00 PM

Statistical processing and modeling for performance tuning of integrated river basin physical modelling

Hatem Khedr, Helmholtz Centre - UFZ

3:00 PM - 3:20 PM

Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis in integrated Urban Drainage Modelling: where do we stand?

Giorgio Mannina, Engineering Department, Palermo University

3:40 PM - 4:00 PM

Can model structure families be inferred from model output?

Janneke Remmers, Wageningen University, Wageningen University, Netherlands

4:00 PM - 4:20 PM

An Efficient Data-Driven Variance-Based Global Sensitivity Analysis for Identifying Dominant Factors that Control Unusual Hydrological Events

Razi Sheikholeslami, University of Saskatchewan, University of Oxford

4:20 PM - 4:40 PM