Keywords
Conditional Cash Transfer, Time Allocation, Mental Accounting
Location
Colorado State University
Start Date
26-6-2018 5:00 PM
End Date
26-6-2018 7:00 PM
Abstract
An increasing number of indigenous communities have been integrated to the market economy, and such integration can lead to unexpected negative environmental impacts that are important to be understood in order to mitigate them. A common way in which indigenous people are integrated to market economy is through the implementation of Conditional Cash Transfer programs (CCTs). Some models have been developed aiming to predict the long-term environmental impacts of CCTs and, in general, they focus the people’s decision-making process regard time allocation on the rational choice theory, however it is believed that people tend to mentally divide time in “work” and “non-work”, thus acting accordingly to the mental accounting theory. Evidence suggest that the implementation of CCTs can reduce the amount of time people allocate on subsistence activities and increases time dedicated to leisure activities, therefore could lead to different predictions of these programs environmental impacts. This study aims to discuss how the adoption of conflicting decision theories (i.e. rational choice theory and mental accounting) changes the predictions of the long-term impacts of CCTs money transfers and intends to discuss the uncertainty due to different theoretical assumptions. For this we will study the Bolsa Família program impacts at the Kῖsêdjê community (amazonic indigenous community from Brazil), through an agent-based model, described using the ODD + D protocol and parameterized with empirical data obtained by survey and time allocation techniques.
Giving Cash to Indigenous People Increases Deforestation?
Colorado State University
An increasing number of indigenous communities have been integrated to the market economy, and such integration can lead to unexpected negative environmental impacts that are important to be understood in order to mitigate them. A common way in which indigenous people are integrated to market economy is through the implementation of Conditional Cash Transfer programs (CCTs). Some models have been developed aiming to predict the long-term environmental impacts of CCTs and, in general, they focus the people’s decision-making process regard time allocation on the rational choice theory, however it is believed that people tend to mentally divide time in “work” and “non-work”, thus acting accordingly to the mental accounting theory. Evidence suggest that the implementation of CCTs can reduce the amount of time people allocate on subsistence activities and increases time dedicated to leisure activities, therefore could lead to different predictions of these programs environmental impacts. This study aims to discuss how the adoption of conflicting decision theories (i.e. rational choice theory and mental accounting) changes the predictions of the long-term impacts of CCTs money transfers and intends to discuss the uncertainty due to different theoretical assumptions. For this we will study the Bolsa Família program impacts at the Kῖsêdjê community (amazonic indigenous community from Brazil), through an agent-based model, described using the ODD + D protocol and parameterized with empirical data obtained by survey and time allocation techniques.
Stream and Session
Poster Presentation
Stream F: System Identification Approaches for Complex Environmental Systems
Session F1: Understanding User Uncertainty in Complex modelling