Keywords
vulnerability assessment, farm, flood, recovery process, damage, modelling
Start Date
1-7-2012 12:00 AM
Abstract
In this paper, we discuss the necessity to take into account recovery processes in the field of vulnerability assessment, which is more and more widely used tohelp decision-making. Considering farm vulnerability to flooding, according to the literature, there is a need to better understand recovery after flooding to evaluate vulnerability.Nevertheless, quantitative methods, mainly developed to appraise damage completelyneglect this. We present, in this paper, a modelling approach to assess vulnerabilityto flooding at farm level with quantitative indicators. The model takes into account processes which occur at farm scale until the farm recover to a state considered similarto its initial one. We first present the model and particularly focus on the difficulties related to modelling recovery processes. The description is illustrated by an applicationon a farm type in the Rhone River context. Then, we present damages born by severalfarmer profiles which illustrate the difference between taking or not into account recovery.These simulations show that, depending on the possibility to farmer to access externalresources, damages endured can be much higher than direct damages usually evaluatedwhen recovery is not taken into account. Finally, we discuss the interest and warnings touse this model and present remaining research challenges.
Taking into account recovery to assess vulnerability: application to farms exposed to flooding
In this paper, we discuss the necessity to take into account recovery processes in the field of vulnerability assessment, which is more and more widely used tohelp decision-making. Considering farm vulnerability to flooding, according to the literature, there is a need to better understand recovery after flooding to evaluate vulnerability.Nevertheless, quantitative methods, mainly developed to appraise damage completelyneglect this. We present, in this paper, a modelling approach to assess vulnerabilityto flooding at farm level with quantitative indicators. The model takes into account processes which occur at farm scale until the farm recover to a state considered similarto its initial one. We first present the model and particularly focus on the difficulties related to modelling recovery processes. The description is illustrated by an applicationon a farm type in the Rhone River context. Then, we present damages born by severalfarmer profiles which illustrate the difference between taking or not into account recovery.These simulations show that, depending on the possibility to farmer to access externalresources, damages endured can be much higher than direct damages usually evaluatedwhen recovery is not taken into account. Finally, we discuss the interest and warnings touse this model and present remaining research challenges.
