Keywords

Fuzzy Cognitive Maps, Scenario Planning, Stakeholder Groups, Autonomous Vehicle Technologgy

Start Date

26-6-2018 10:40 AM

End Date

26-6-2018 12:00 PM

Abstract

Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM), as a future-study and fuzzy-front management research tool, could help the decision-makers to get the future scenarios on decisions of new technology application in real life, with a direct capture of stakeholders' cognitions on the decision-making subjective. Currently, the Southwest Corridor Plan (connecting with Southwest Portland, from Tualatin and Sherwood to Tigard) for the city of Portland, is one of the on-going urban planning projects which is focusing on improve the on-ground passenger transit system of the City. Regarding this real-life project, the opinions from stakeholders on future scenarios on potential usage of autonomous vehicles (AV) technology in the SW Corridor Plan would provide supportive information to the decision-makers. This paper will describe the detailed research process using FCM-based scenario planning process of applying AV technology into SW Corridor Plan based on the opinions from college students as one of the potential user groups or as one of the stakeholder groups, for illustrate the research framework. There will be several parts in the paper: 1. a brief introduction of SW Corridor Plan; 2. the possibility of adopting AV technology into SW Corridor Plan; 3. a detailed FCM-based scenario planning process illustration with findings; 4. conclusion of the whole research; and 5. a discussion of the proposed process of the FCM-based scenario planning regarding the insights from the practice.

Stream and Session

Stream C: Integrated Social, Economic, Ecological, and Infrastructural Modeling

Session C5: Participatory Modelling 2.0: Interfaces, Tools, Methods and Approaches for Linking Stakeholders Decisions, and Environmental Modelling

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Jun 26th, 10:40 AM Jun 26th, 12:00 PM

Using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps to model the impacts of autonomous vehicle technology on communities: An Illustration of the Process

Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM), as a future-study and fuzzy-front management research tool, could help the decision-makers to get the future scenarios on decisions of new technology application in real life, with a direct capture of stakeholders' cognitions on the decision-making subjective. Currently, the Southwest Corridor Plan (connecting with Southwest Portland, from Tualatin and Sherwood to Tigard) for the city of Portland, is one of the on-going urban planning projects which is focusing on improve the on-ground passenger transit system of the City. Regarding this real-life project, the opinions from stakeholders on future scenarios on potential usage of autonomous vehicles (AV) technology in the SW Corridor Plan would provide supportive information to the decision-makers. This paper will describe the detailed research process using FCM-based scenario planning process of applying AV technology into SW Corridor Plan based on the opinions from college students as one of the potential user groups or as one of the stakeholder groups, for illustrate the research framework. There will be several parts in the paper: 1. a brief introduction of SW Corridor Plan; 2. the possibility of adopting AV technology into SW Corridor Plan; 3. a detailed FCM-based scenario planning process illustration with findings; 4. conclusion of the whole research; and 5. a discussion of the proposed process of the FCM-based scenario planning regarding the insights from the practice.