This research uses Bayesian analysis of fluorescence spectroscopy results to determine if wastewater from the Heber Valley Special Service District (HVSSD) lagoons in Midway, UT has seeped into the adjacent Provo River. This flow cannot be directly measured, but it is possible to use fluorescence spectroscopy to determine if there is seepage into the river.Fluorescence spectroscopy results of water samples obtained from HVSSD lagoons and from upstream and downstream in the Provo River were used to conduct this statistical analysis. The fluorescence 'fingerprints' for the upstream and lagoon samples were used to deconvolute the two sources in a downstream sample in a manner similar to the tools and methods discussed in the literature and used for source apportionment of air pollutants. The Bayesian statistical method employed presents a novel way of conducting source apportionment and identifying the existence of pollution.This research demonstrates that coupling fluorescence spectroscopy with Bayesian statistical methods allows researchers to determine the degree to which a water source has been contaminated by a pollution source. This research has applications in determining the affect sanitary wastewater lagoons and other lagoons have on an adjacent river due to groundwater seepage. The method used can be applied in scenarios where direct collection of hydrogeologic data is not possible. This research demonstrates that the Bayesian chemical mass balance model presented is a viable method of performing source apportionment.



College and Department

Ira A. Fulton College of Engineering and Technology; Civil and Environmental Engineering



Date Submitted


Document Type





fluorescence spectroscopy, Bayesian analysis, source apportionment, excitation emission, wastewater treatment, lagoon wastewater treatment