Paper/Poster/Presentation Title

Machine Learning in Surface Ocean CO2 Mapping

Keywords

CO2, Ocean, SVM, Neural Networks.

Location

Session C1: VI Data Mining for Environmental Sciences Session

Start Date

13-7-2016 8:50 AM

End Date

13-7-2016 9:10 AM

Abstract

Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a major greenhouse gas affecting long term global climate change. According to the Global Carbon Budget 2013 (Quéré et al., 2014, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 6, 235–263), total global carbon emissions increased from 3.9 GtC/yr in 1959 to 10.7 GtC/yr in 2012, of which approximately 43% remained in the atmosphere, 30% went to terrestrial sinks, and 27% to the oceans. A method to estimate the oceanic sink is by calculating the air-sea CO2 exchange rate of CO2. While obtaining accurate distributions of the surface ocean CO2 (SOC) is critical to minimize uncertainty for this method, it is still a challenging task to achieve the goal due to scarce measurements and large temporal and spatial variability of SOC. Here we present monthly SOC maps for 1990-2015 with a spatial resolution of 1 by 1 degree. The results were obtained by three machine learning methods: feed-forward neural network, self-organization map, and support vector machine. They agree well with those submitted to the inter-comparison of Rödenbeck et al. (2015, Biogeosciences, 12, 7251–7278). We compare the differences of the methods and discuss their advantages and disadvantages.

COinS
 
Jul 13th, 8:50 AM Jul 13th, 9:10 AM

Machine Learning in Surface Ocean CO2 Mapping

Session C1: VI Data Mining for Environmental Sciences Session

Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a major greenhouse gas affecting long term global climate change. According to the Global Carbon Budget 2013 (Quéré et al., 2014, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 6, 235–263), total global carbon emissions increased from 3.9 GtC/yr in 1959 to 10.7 GtC/yr in 2012, of which approximately 43% remained in the atmosphere, 30% went to terrestrial sinks, and 27% to the oceans. A method to estimate the oceanic sink is by calculating the air-sea CO2 exchange rate of CO2. While obtaining accurate distributions of the surface ocean CO2 (SOC) is critical to minimize uncertainty for this method, it is still a challenging task to achieve the goal due to scarce measurements and large temporal and spatial variability of SOC. Here we present monthly SOC maps for 1990-2015 with a spatial resolution of 1 by 1 degree. The results were obtained by three machine learning methods: feed-forward neural network, self-organization map, and support vector machine. They agree well with those submitted to the inter-comparison of Rödenbeck et al. (2015, Biogeosciences, 12, 7251–7278). We compare the differences of the methods and discuss their advantages and disadvantages.