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2016
Monday, July 11th
8:30 AM

A better way to build plant models

Dean Holzworth, CSIRO Agriculture, Australia
Hamish Brown, Plant and Food Research
Neil Huth, CSIRO Agriculture

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

8:30 AM - 8:50 AM

How modellers frame uncertainty in scientific publications: review and reflections

Joseph H.A. Guillaume, Water and Development Research Group, Aalto University, iCAM, National Centre for Groundwater Research and Training (NCGRT) and Fenner School of Environment & Society
Casey Helgeson, LSE Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science, London School of Economics and Political Science
Sondoss Elsawah, University of New South Wales, iCAM, National Centre for Groundwater Research and Training (NCGRT) and Fenner School of Environment & Society
Anthony J. Jakeman, iCAM, National Centre for Groundwater Research and Training (NCGRT) and Fenner School of Environment & Society
Matti Kummu, Water and Development Research Group, Aalto University

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

8:30 AM - 8:50 AM

8:50 AM

A New Framework for Global Sensitivity Analysis for Environmental Modelling

Saman Razavi, Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan
Hoshin Gupta, University of Arizona
Amin Haghnegahdar, Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan
Razi Sheikholeslami, Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

8:50 AM - 9:10 AM

Advances in the Spatially Distributed AgES-W Model: Parallel Computation, Java Connection Framework (JCF) Integration, and Streamflow/Nitrogen Dynamics Assessment

James Ascough II, USDA-ARS-PA, Water Management and Systems Research Unit
Nathan P. Lighthart, Colorado State University
Holm Kipka, Colorado State University
Timothy R. Green, USDA-ARS-PA, Water Management and Systems Research Unit
Gregory S. McMaster, USDA-ARS-PA, Water Management and Systems Research Unit
Olaf David, Colorado State University

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

8:50 AM - 9:10 AM

9:10 AM

Evaluating model structure uncertainty by a new approach to sensitivity analysis utilizing hydrological signatures

Jiri Nossent, Flanders Hydraulics Research, Department Mobility and Public Works, Flemish Government, Vrije Universiteit Brussel
Mahyar Shafii, University of Waterloo
Willy Bauwens, Earth System Sciences Group, Vrije Universiteit Brussel

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

9:10 AM - 9:30 AM

webXTREME: a simple web tool for calculating agroclimatic indicators of extreme events

Tommy Klein, Agroscope, Institute for Sustainability Sciences
Argyris Samourkasidis, Democritus University of Thrace
Ioannis N. Athanasiadis, Wageningen University
Gianni Bellocchi, French National Institute for Agricultural Research
Pierluigi Calanca, Agroscope, Institute for Sustainability Sciences

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

9:10 AM - 9:30 AM

9:30 AM

Agent-based Modelling: What Matters is Action

Franҫois Guerrin, UR Recyclage et Risque
Zoubida Afoutni, Université de la Réunion
Rémy Courdier, Université de la Réunion

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

9:30 AM - 9:50 AM

Sobol’ sensitivity analysis for stressor impacts on honeybee colonies

Carmen Kuan, Oak Ridge Institute of Science and Education
Robert Curry, Crystal River Consulting
Gloria DeGrandi-Hoffman, USDA Agricultural Research Service
Kris Garber, U.S. EPA, Office of Pesticide Programs
Andrew Kanarek, U.S. EPA, Office of Pesticide Programs
Marcia Snyder, U.S. EPA, Office of Research and Development
Tom Purucker, U.S. EPA, Office of Research and Development

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

9:30 AM - 9:50 AM

9:50 AM

Advances in probabilistic and parallel agent-based simulation: Modelling climate change adaptation in agriculture

Christian Troost, Universität Hohenheim
Thomas Berger, Universität Hohenheim

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

9:50 AM - 10:10 AM

Uncertainty and resilience assessment of critical infrastructures: Application of MCDA to Fiumicino airport

Carlo Giupponi, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice Centre for Climate Studies (VICCS), Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change
Juliana Bernhofer, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice Centre for Climate Studies (VICCS)
Vahid Mojtahed, Ca’ Foscari University of Venice, Venice Centre for Climate Studies (VICCS), Fera Science Ltd

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

9:50 AM - 10:10 AM

10:30 AM

Assimilation of SAR and optical data into an agro-meteorological model for monitoring yield of corn

Maël Ameline, Université de Toulouse, Association Météorologique de Moyenne-Garonne et du Sud-Ouest
Rémy Fieuzal, Université de Toulouse
Julie Betbeber, Université de Rennes
Jean-Franҫois Berthoumieu, Association Météorologique de Moyenne-Garonne et du Sud-Ouest
Frédéric Baup, Université de Toulouse

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

10:30 AM - 10:50 AM

New approach to interactive use of energy system models for policy support

Evelina Trutnevyte, ETH Zurich, D-USYS
Phillip Bernsten, ETH Zurich, D-USYS

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

10:30 AM - 10:50 AM

10:50 AM

Context scenarios: understanding societal context uncertainty in environmental modeling

Hannah Kosow, ZIRIUS, Research Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies, University of Stuttgart, DIALOGIK, non-profit institute for communication and cooperation research
Sigrid Prehofer, ZIRIUS, Research Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies, University of Stuttgart
Wolfgang Weimer-Jehle, ZIRIUS, Research Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies, University of Stuttgart

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

10:50 AM - 11:10 AM

The Pasture Simulation model – evaluation of plant acclimatory effects on grassland systems in France

Serge Zaka, INRA
Renáta Sándor, UREP, INRA
Raphaël Martin, UREP, INRA
Gaëtan Louarn, INRA
Katja Klumpp, UREP, INRA
David Borras, UREP, INRA
Gianni Bellocchi, MTA Centre for Agricultural Research, Institute for Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

10:50 AM - 11:10 AM

11:10 AM

Futures of resilience and mitigation: Combining stakeholder knowledge, statistical analysis and integrated modelling to better understand and reduce disaster risk

Graeme A. Riddell, The University of Adelaide, Research Institute for Knowledge Systems
Hedwig van Delden, The University of Adelaide, Research Institute for Knowledge Systems
Holger R. Maier, University of Adelaide
Aaron C. Zecchin, The University of Adelaide
Graeme C. Dandy, University of Adelaide

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

11:10 AM - 11:30 AM

Integrated assessment of novel two-season production systems in Mato Grosso, Brazil

Marcelo Moraes, Universität Hohenheim
Affonso Libera, Instituto Federal de Ciência e Tecnologia de Mato Grosso (IFMT)
Evgeny Latynskiy, Universität Hohenheim
Anna Hampf, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research
José Maria Silveira, Universidade Estadual de Campinas
Thomas Berger, Universität Hohenheim

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

11:10 AM - 11:30 AM

11:30 AM

Simulating regional-scale soil nitrous oxide emissions in Scotland

Vasileios Myrgiotis, Scotland Rural College & University of Edinburgh
Cairistiona F. E. Topp, Scotland’s Rural College
Robert M. Rees, Scotland’s Rural College
Mathew Williams, University of Edinburgh

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

11:30 AM - 11:50 AM

Using scenario analysis to investigate uncertainty in water resource management

Baihua Fu, National Centre for Groundwater Research and Training (NCGRT), Australian National University
Joseph Guillaume, Water & Development Research Group (WDRG), Aalto University
Mike Asher, National Centre for Groundwater Research and Training (NCGRT) and Fenner School of Environment and Society, Australian National University
Tony Jakeman, National Centre for Groundwater Research and Training (NCGRT) and Fenner School of Environment and Society, Australian National University

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

11:30 AM - 11:50 AM

2:30 PM

Designing mixed fruit-vegetable cropping systems by integer quadratic programming

Sara Maqrot, MIAT
Simon de Givry, MIAT
Gauthier Quesnel, MIAT
Marc Tchamitchian, Ecodéveloppement, INRA

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

2:30 PM - 2:50 PM

The stability and ecophysiological realism of calibrated parameters in a detailed vegetation model (WAVES)

R. W. Vervoort, Centre for Carbon, Water and Food, Faculty of Agriculture and Environment, The University of Sydney
J. D. Henry, Centre for Carbon, Water and Food, Faculty of Agriculture and Environment, The University of Sydney
M. Gharun, Centre for Carbon, Water and Food, Faculty of Agriculture and Environment, The University of Sydney
M. A. Adams, Centre for Carbon, Water and Food, Faculty of Agriculture and Environment, The University of Sydney

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

2:30 PM - 2:50 PM

2:50 PM

Implementing urine patches in a dynamic process- based simulation model

V. O. Snow, AgResearch--Lincoln Research Centre
R. Cichota, AgResearch--Lincoln Research Centre
N. J. Hutchings, Aarhus University
J. Vejlin, Aarhus University

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

2:50 PM - 3:10 PM

Land use change and agricultural production of a Central European region expected until 2050

Joerg A. Priess, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ
Christian Hoyer, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ
Greta Jäckel, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ
Sebastian Pomm, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ
Eva Lang, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ
Christian Schweitzer, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Federal Environment Agency – UBA

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

2:50 PM - 3:10 PM

3:10 PM

Including discharge uncertainties into an adaptable objective function for rainfall - runoff model calibration and evaluation

Audrey Douinot, Institut de Mécanique des Fluides de Toulouse (IMFT) - Université de Toulouse
Hélène Roux, Institut de Mécanique des Fluides de Toulouse (IMFT) - Université de Toulouse
Denis Dartus, Institut de Mécanique des Fluides de Toulouse (IMFT) - Université de Toulouse

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

3:10 PM - 3:30 PM

PEPIC – understanding the impacts of different PET methods on simulating global crop-water relations of maize

Wenfeng Liu, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology
Hong Yang, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, University of Basel

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

3:10 PM - 3:30 PM

3:30 PM

Calibration of Hydrological Model in Data Scarce Tropical Basin

T. Alemayehu, Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB)
A. Griensven, Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), UNESCO-IHE
Willy Bauwens, Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB)
Hoshin Gupta, The University of Arizona

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

3:30 PM - 3:50 PM

Modeling winter wheat phenological responses to water deficits in the Unified Plant Growth Model (UPGM) component of the spatially distributed AgroEcoSystem-Watershed (AgES-W) model

Gregory S. McMaster, USDA-ARS-NPA
Debora A. Edmunds, USDA-ARS-PA
Nathan P. Lighthart, Colorado State University
James C. Ascough II, USDA-ARS-PA
Timothy R. Green, USDA-ARS-PA
Robert H. Erskine, USDA-ARS-PA
Holm Kipka, Colorado State University

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

3:30 PM - 3:50 PM

3:50 PM

Uncertainties in estimating design droughts

Devanmini Halwatura, Centre for Water in the Minerals Industry, Sustainable Mineral Institute, The University of Queensland
Alex M. Lechner, Centre for Social Responsibility in Mining, Sustainable Mineral Institute, The University of Queensland
Neil McIntyre, Centre for Water in the Minerals Industry, Sustainable Mineral Institute, The University of Queensland
Sven Arnold, Centre for Water in the Minerals Industry, Sustainable Mineral Institute, The University of Queensland

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

3:50 PM - 4:10 PM

4:30 PM

How weather uncertainty impacts the predicted yield in an agricultural decision support tool?

Amélie Pinet, iTK
Romain Bourget, iTK
Pierre Moreau, iTK
Nathalie Saint-Geours, iTK
Julia Radoszycki, iTK
Philippe Stoop, iTK

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

4:30 PM - 4:50 PM

4:50 PM

Residual Soil Nitrogen Scenario Analysis of Canadian Farmland using a Canadian Agricultural Nitrogen Budget (CANB v4.0) Model

Jingyi Yang, Harrow Research and Development Centre, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
Craig Drury, Harrow Research and Development Centre, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

4:50 PM - 5:10 PM

Uncertainty Analysis toward confidence limits to hydraulic state predictions in water distribution networks

Mathias Braun, Irstea, UR ETBX, Dept. of Water, IRNIA Bordeaux-Sud-Ouest
Olivier Piller, Irstea, UR ETBX, Dept. of Water
Angelo Iollo, Universite Bordeaux, IRNIA Bordeaux-Sud-Ouest
Iraj Mortazavi, CNAM, EA-7340-M2N-Modélisation Mathématique et Numérique
Jochen Deuerlein, 3S Consult GmbH

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

4:50 PM - 5:10 PM

5:10 PM

Groundwater recharge and associated uncertainty estimation combining multi-method and multi-scale approaches

S. Lanini, BRGM D3E/NRE
Y. Caballero, BRGM D3E/NRE

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

5:10 PM - 5:30 PM

Modelling potential nitrogen losses in oil palm plantations with IN-Palm, an agri-environmental indicator

Pardon Lénaïc, CIRAD, UPR Systèmes de pérennes
Bockstaller Christian, Université de Lorraine
Marichal Raphaël, CIRAD, UPR Systèmes de pérennes, SMART Research Institute
Sionita Ribka, SMART Research Institute
Nelson Paul, James Cook University
Gabrielle Benoît, AgroParisTech, INRA
Jean-Paul Laclau, CIRAD, UMR ECO&SOLS
Caliman Jean-Pierre, CIRAD, UPR Systèmes de pérennes, SMART Research Institute
Bessou Cécile, CIRAD, UMR ECO&SOLS

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

5:10 PM - 5:30 PM

5:30 PM

Assessing Crop Portfolios: Diversification versus Monoculture for Biodiesel

G. Guariso, Politecnico di Milano
F. Recanati, Politecnico di Milano

Session B2: Advances in Agricultural Modelling

5:30 PM - 5:50 PM

Effects of climate data aggregation on regional net primary production (NPP) modelling

Matthias Kuhnert, Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen
Jagadeesh Yeluripati, Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, The James Hutton Institute
Pete Smith, Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen
Holger Hoffmann, Crop Science Group, INRES, University of Bonn
Marcel van Oijen, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, CEH-Edinburgh
Julie Constantin, INRA
Elsa Coucheney, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Rene Dechow, Thünen-Institute of Climate-Smart-Agriculture
Henrik Eckersten, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Thomas Gaiser, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, CEH-Edinburgh
Balász Grosz, Thünen-Institute of Climate-Smart-Agriculture
Edwin Haas, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research – Atmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Kurt-Christian Kersebaum, Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research
Ralf Kiese, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research – Atmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Steffen Klatt, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research – Atmospheric Environmental Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Elisabet Lewan, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Claas Nendel, Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research
Helene Raynal, INRA
Carmen Sosa, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences
Xenia Specka, Institute of Landscape Systems Analysis, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research
Edmar Teixeira, Systems Modelling Team (Sustainable Production Group), The New Zealand Institute for Plant and Food Research Limited, Canterbury Agriculture & Science Centre
Enli Wang, CSIRO Land and Water
Lutz Weihermüller, Institute of Bio- & Geosciences Agrosphere (IBG-3)
Gang Zhao, Crop Science Group, INRES, University of Bonn
Zhigan Zhao, CSIRO Land and Water
Stephen Ogle, Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Colorado State University
Frank Ewert, Crop Science Group, INRES, University of Bonn

Session B5: Managing Uncertainty

5:30 PM - 5:50 PM

Tuesday, July 12th
4:30 PM

Structural Equation Modelling for Individual-Based Simulation

Kai G. Mertens, Hamburg University of Technology
Iris Lorscheid, Hamburg University of Technology
Matthias Meyer, Hamburg University of Technology

Session B3: Methods for Visualization and Analysis of High-Dimensional Simulation Model Outputs

4:30 PM - 4:50 PM

4:50 PM

Hierarchical Hybrid modelling

Reza Hesan, Delft University of Technology
Erik Pruyt, Delft University of Technology

Session B3: Methods for Visualization and Analysis of High-Dimensional Simulation Model Outputs

4:50 PM - 5:10 PM

5:10 PM

Analyzing regime shifts in agent-based models with equation-free analysis

Romina Martin, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University
Spencer Angus Thomas, University of Surrey

Session B3: Methods for Visualization and Analysis of High-Dimensional Simulation Model Outputs

5:10 PM - 5:30 PM

5:30 PM

Spatial and dynamic sensitivity analysis of a biophysical model of nitrogen transfers and transformations at the landscape scale.

Jordi Ferrer Saval, UMR ECOSYS, INRA, UMR MIA-Paris, AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay
Pierre Barbillon, UMR MIA-Paris, AgroParisTech, INRA, Université Paris-Saclay
Cyril Benhamou, UMR ECOSYS, INRA, AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay
Patrick Durand, UMR SAS, INRA, Agrocampus Ouest
Marie-Luce Taupin, UMR MaIAGE, INRA, Université Paris-Saclay
Hervé Monod, UMR MaIAGE, INRA, Université Paris-Saclay
Jean-Louis Drouet, UMR ECOSYS, INRA, AgroParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay

Session B3: Methods for Visualization and Analysis of High-Dimensional Simulation Model Outputs

5:30 PM - 5:50 PM

5:50 PM

Modelling socio-ecological problems with delay. Case study on environmental damage

Veronika Novotná, Brno University of Technology
Bedřich Půža, Brno University of Technology
Jiří Hřebíček, Masaryk University, Institute of Biostatistics and Analyses

Session B3: Methods for Visualization and Analysis of High-Dimensional Simulation Model Outputs

5:50 PM - 6:10 PM

Wednesday, July 13th
8:30 AM

Towards an Ontology of Ecosystem Services for Modeling the Management of their Flows to and from Agriculture

Roger Martin-Clouaire, MIAT, INRA, Université de Toulouse

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

8:30 AM - 8:50 AM

8:50 AM

Trade-offs between carbon storage, crop yield production and water supply at the global scale

Sven Lautenbach, University of Bonn
Anita D. Bayer, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU)
Almut Arneth, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-IFU)

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

8:50 AM - 9:10 AM

9:10 AM

How can farmers‘ decisions and policy actions on novel bioenergy feedstocks affect the supply of ecosystem service bundles?

Jule Schulze, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ
Karin Frank, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ
Joerg A. Priess, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ
Markus A. Meyer, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Bavarian State Institute of Forestry

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

9:10 AM - 9:30 AM

9:30 AM

Balancing trade-offs among aquatic ecosystem services while navigating through regime shifts

Romina Martin, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University
Maja Schlüter, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

9:30 AM - 9:50 AM

10:30 AM

Planning Complex Agro-Ecosystems: The Case of Analog Forestry

F. Recanati, Politecnico di Milano
Giorgio Guariso, Politecnico di Milano
M. Saini, ArBio
Sergio Vilchez Mendoza, CATIE Headquarters

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

10:30 AM - 10:50 AM

Uncertainty quantification with Polynomial chaos expansion in Ensemble based data assimilation framework

N. El Mocayd, CECI Cerfacs/CNRS
S. Ricci, CECI Cerfacs/CNRS
M. Rochoux, CECI Cerfacs/CNRS
N. Goutal, EDF, Laboratoire d'hydraulique Saint-Venant
S. Boyaval, Laboratoire d'hydraulique Saint-Venant
C. Goeury, EDF
D. Lucor, LIMSI, Campus universitaire bât 508

Session B1: Data Assimilation Techniques for Uncertainty Reduction

10:30 AM - 10:50 AM

10:50 AM

A Bayesian method for data assimilation in probabilistic wave forecasting

Quillon Harpham, HR Wallingford UK
Nigel Tozer, HR Wallingford UK
Paul Cleverley, HR Wallingford UK
David Wyncoll, HR Wallingford UK
Doug Cresswell, HR Wallingford UK

Session B1: Data Assimilation Techniques for Uncertainty Reduction

10:50 AM - 11:10 AM

Plant trait-based assessment of the Pasture Simulation model

Anne-Isabelle Graux, PEGASE, Agrocampus Ouest, INRA
Katja Klumpp, UREP, INRA
Shaoxiu Ma, UREP, INRA, University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Center
Raphaël Martin, UREP, INRA
Gianni Bellocchi, UREP, INRA

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

10:50 AM - 11:10 AM

11:10 AM

Land use change effects of oil palm expansion on ecosystem services in Tapi river basin, Thailand

Kanokwan Saswattecha, The Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University Research
Lars Hein, The Environmental Systems Analysis Group, Wageningen University Research
Carolien Kroeze, Water Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen University Research
Warit Jawjit, School of Allied Health Sciences and Public Health, Walailak University

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

11:10 AM - 11:30 AM

Multi-dimensional hydraulic coupling for flood forecasting

S. Barthélémy, CECI, CNRS-CERFACS
S. Ricci, CECI, CNRS-CERFACS
N. Goutal, EDF
T. Morel, CECI, CNRS-CERFACS
E. Le Pape, SCHAPI

Session B1: Data Assimilation Techniques for Uncertainty Reduction

11:10 AM - 11:30 AM

11:30 AM

Rural Livelihood, Biodiversity and Carbon Stock in Vietnam Mountains: Agent-Based Modeling to Anticipate Trade-Offs

Quang Bao Le, CGIAR Research Program on Dryland Systems, c/o International Center for Agricultural Research in Dry Areas (ICARDA)

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

11:30 AM - 11:50 AM

2:30 PM

Comparison of the offline and the online bias correction of the WRF-EURAD in Porto, Portugal

K. I. Hoi, University of Macau
K. V. Yuen, University of Macau
K. M. Mok, University of Macau
A. I. Miranda, University of Aveiro
I. Ribeiro, University of Aveiro

Session B1: Data Assimilation Techniques for Uncertainty Reduction

2:30 PM - 2:50 PM

Simulating spatial changes in vegetation-livestock interactions under different landscape structures: a multi-agent system applied to agro-pastoral territories

Mamadou Sané, CIRAD - UMR Selmet, Mediterranean and Tropical Livestock Systems, Dp PPZS, Pastoral Systems and Dry Lands, Campus ISRA de Hann, UCAD - Ummisco, Unit for Mathematical and Computer Modeling of Complex Systems, ESP
Jonathan Vayssières, CIRAD - UMR Selmet, Mediterranean and Tropical Livestock Systems, Dp PPZS, Pastoral Systems and Dry Lands, Campus ISRA de Hann
Myriam Grillot, CIRAD - UMR Selmet, Mediterranean and Tropical Livestock Systems, Dp PPZS, Pastoral Systems and Dry Lands, Campus ISRA de Hann
Alassane Bah, Dp PPZS, Pastoral Systems and Dry Lands, Campus ISRA de Hann, UCAD - Ummisco, Unit for Mathematical and Computer Modeling of Complex Systems, ESP
Alexandre Ickowicz, CIRAD - UMR Selmet, Mediterranean and Tropical Livestock Systems, Dp PPZS, Pastoral Systems and Dry Lands, Campus ISRA de Hann

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

2:30 PM - 2:50 PM

2:50 PM

Advanced clustering to integrate spatial socio-ecological components in decision-making: a case study on sustainable agriculture

Stéphane Bourrelly, University of Lyon III, UMR 5600 (EVS) CNRS
Antonino Marvuglia, Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology (LIST)
Ian Vázquez-Rowe, Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

2:50 PM - 3:10 PM

Bayesian Estimation of Source Term of Atmospheric Radiation Release with Interval Prior

O. Tichý, Institute of Information Theory and Automation, Czech Academy of Sciences
V. Šmídl, Institute of Information Theory and Automation, Czech Academy of Sciences
R. Hofman, Institute of Information Theory and Automation, Czech Academy of Sciences

Session B1: Data Assimilation Techniques for Uncertainty Reduction

2:50 PM - 3:10 PM

3:10 PM

A Markov Decision Process model to compare Ecosystem Services Provided by agricultural landscapes

Sabrina Gaba, INRA-UMR Agroécologie
Nathalie Peyrard, INRA-MIAT
Régis Sabbadin, INRA-MIAT
Julia Radoszyckic, ITK

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

3:10 PM - 3:30 PM

A mathematical model for GHG from SB-MBR: calibration by an innovative protocol

Giorgio Mannina, Universita di Palermo
Alida Cosenza, Universita di Palermo

Session B1: Data Assimilation Techniques for Uncertainty Reduction

3:10 PM - 3:30 PM

3:30 PM

ATLAS: A Tool to Model Spatial-temporal Dynamics of Processes Influencing Ecosystem Services

Hugo Thierry, Dynafor, Université de Toulouse, INRA, INPT, INP-EI Purpan
Aude Vialatte, Dynafor, Université de Toulouse, INRA, INPT, INP-EI Purpan
Claude Monteil, Dynafor, Université de Toulouse, INRA, INPT, INP-EI Purpan
Annie Ouin, Dynafor, Université de Toulouse, INRA, INPT, INP-EI Purpan

Session B4: Environmental and Agricultural Modelling for Ecosystem Services

3:30 PM - 3:50 PM

Data-driven wildfire behaviour modelling: application of FIREFLY to field-scale grassland controlled burns

M. C. Rochoux, CECI, CNRS-CERFACS
C. Zhang, University of Maryland at College Park
D. Lucor, LIMSI
S. Ricci, CECI, CNRS-CERFACS
A. Trouve, University of Maryland at College Park

Session B1: Data Assimilation Techniques for Uncertainty Reduction

3:30 PM - 3:50 PM

3:50 PM

Optimal land use?! – A review on optimization techniques used in multi-criteria decision analysis

Andrea Kaim, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ
Anna Cord, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ
Martin Volk, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ

Session B1: Data Assimilation Techniques for Uncertainty Reduction

3:50 PM - 4:10 PM

4:10 PM

Fire-spotting modelling and parametrisation for wild-land fires

Inderpreet Kaur, BCAM–Basque Center for Applied Mathematics
Gianni Pagnini, Ikerbasque–Basque Foundation for Science

Session B1: Data Assimilation Techniques for Uncertainty Reduction

4:10 PM - 4:30 PM